There are many reasons Keir Starmer’s Labour Party might provide
better government than the current administration but hoping for a new approach
to crime and punishment may not be one of them.
Just as Tony Blair and Jack Straw did thirty years ago, Starmer’s
team are seeking to ditch any notion that they care
more about criminals than victims, reviving the New Labour commitment to be
“tough on crime, tough on the causes of crime” and floating harsh sounding but often
unworkable gimmicks- in Reed’s case a “naming
and shaming’ scheme for people convicted of buying drugs; in Rayner's, beating down the doors of criminals at 3 in the morning to annoy the hell out of them.
In the short term, Labour’s repositioning brings with it a real
risk of another penal arms race; early skirmishes include the Justice Secretary
apparently now personally authorising (or not) moves of prisoners to open
conditions; and the plan to increase magistrates' sentencing powers. While the Johnson government has already put measures
in train which could push the
prison population to 98,500 over the next four years, Opposition pressure
could fan the flames of penal populism yet further, leading to the creation of more
offences, increased maximum penalties and more austere prison conditions. The
tone for any administration Starmer might form in the future would have been
set. It would not be a surprise if the post war trend continued of prison
populations rising faster during periods of Labour government than Conservative.
The Blair-Brown years saw a 40% rise
from 61,000 to 85,000.
Any more growth in imprisonment would be a financial, social and moral calamity – and an unnecessary one. Ipsos Mori’s monthly tracker poll shows people don’t currently rate crime among the top ten important issues facing Britain today. Its salience is at near record low levels. Could this be a window of opportunity for de-escalating the war on crime?
Where Labour could learn something from Blair’s approach is not in terms of his rhetoric but his efforts to create a better reality on the ground- improving clear up rates, reducing delays in processing cases, increasing opportunities for drug and mental health treatment, and creating institutional infrastructure to deliver it. It didn’t all work- too much coercion, too many targets with unintended consequences, not always enough local ownership and commitment. And the need to spin everything as a success obscured learning about the complexities involved.
The big picture Cooper and Reed should be seeing is of an expanded
range of measures beyond cops, courts, and corrections. Promising approaches such as Restorative Justice and Justice Reinvestment need to be dusted off . Innovative Out of Court
disposals should be encouraged as a preferred option to meaningless court
processing. Sentencing guidelines need to promote effectiveness and limit the unproductive
use of imprisonment. Mental health needs to be addressed much more thoroughly in prison and
probation services. These are some of the elements from which Labour could fashion a much
more diverse and positive agenda than the dismal offer of more punishment.
Will they do so? Reed told the Mirror that “if you
over-focus on the things that have happened in people’s lives that lead them to
offend, it can sound like you’re trying to excuse what they’ve done. We cannot
because they’ve damaged someone else’s life.” Perhaps he should worry less about what
things sound like and more about what works to prevent and resolve crime and the harms it entails.