Not the
words of the Howard League or Prison Reform Trust but ex Met Commissioner
Bernard Hogan Howe a self-styled “hard-nosed enforcer” who thinks punishment really
important. He was speaking in last week’s House of Lords debate on ending automatic
halfway release for serious offenders. Despite his widely shared view – in the
Lords at least- that there are already far too many prisoners, the Conservative
manifesto pledge has been approved by both chambers. And the number of
prisoners is likely to get a lot higher over the next ten years.
2,000 new
prison places will be needed by 2030 as a result of the Statutory Instrument (SI), approved yesterday in the Commons which will see anyone getting a determinate
sentence of seven years or more for a serious sexual or violent offence (carrying
a maximum of sentence of life) spending two thirds of their term locked up.
But many more
cells will be needed much more quickly if legislation promised for later in the
year scraps release at halfway for a wider range of prison sentences. Justice
Minister Chris Philp told MP’s the SI is "simply the first step in part of a
wider process to make sure that we not only protect the public but respect the
rights and concerns of victims”.
Philp had
barely got to his feet before one of his colleagues demanded prisoners serve the
whole of any sentence imposed. Another wanted even longer than that if they misbehaved
inside.
More telling
were the powerful contributions made by MPs who expressed the anger and frustration
of constituents- and in one case their own family- who affected by serious
crimes felt early release meant justice had not been done; not enough punishment
, not enough deterrence, not enough protection for victims and the public- not
enough time, some said, for rehabilitation.
On the positive
side, Philp promised proposals to do more to treat the causes of offending
behaviour, particularly drug and alcohol addiction and mental health problems,
which are often the cause of high-volume repeat offending. Philp told MPs that “short
custodial sentences do not deal effectively with that cohort of offenders”. So
David Gauke’s plans to replace them with community orders may still be alive
and well in the MoJ. But, while these welcome measures, depending how they are
implemented, could reduce the flow of people into prison, they won’t come close
to offsetting the impact of larger proportions of longer sentences being served
there.
Add in the effects
of the 20,000 new police officers- I’ve heard an estimate of a 12-15% growth in
prison numbers resulting from better clear up rates- and there’s a perfect
storm for HMPPS and the MoJ. A former Chief Justice wondered aloud in the Lords
whether even to meet the costs of the initial measures in the SI other parts of
the MoJ particularly the courts and legal aid would continue to be denuded to
prop up the Prison and Probation Service.
There will
at least be a White Paper which will set out the Government’s approach which at
best looks like what criminologists used to call bifurcation – more prison at
the top end, less at the bottom.
For those of
us who want to see less use of prison across the board, there is an urgent need
to develop some fresh thinking. Decrying a populist approach and lack of
evidence – as Labour and Lib Dem Peers did last week -will not get far.
It is not
true – as one MP put it, that there has been “a creeping, pervasive shift away
from the victim towards the perpetrator—that the victim is no longer put first,
but the perpetrator is.” But penal reform must engage better with the concerns
and anxieties of victims- particularly victims of violent and sexual harm- and develop and promote measures which can address them so much better than incarceration.
The government
told Parliament that the White Paper will give an “opportunity to go further
and broader” than the measures they were discussing. They are right. If prison
broadly fails, we need to legislate for and invest in what broadly succeeds.