It’s a big week for penal policy. All prison sentences of two days or more imposed for offences committed from 1st
February onwards will be followed by a mandatory period of supervision after release.
Although this will include what a senior NOMS official described at the CLINKS
AGM last week as a “rehabilitation offer”, it’s pretty much an offer you can’t
refuse. When the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) assessed
the likely impact of the underpinning legal provisions, they admitted that there
will be policing and court costs associated with breaches of the new
supervision terms and costs of providing sanctions for those breaches.
The MoJ hope of course is that the new Community
Rehabilitation Companies that start being paid next week will prove successful
in bringing down the re-offending rates for this group of offenders thereby
offsetting any short term increases in imprisonment. One of the companies, MTC
Novo, was also represented on the podium at CLINKS. Their Chief Operating
Officer apologised for not having got back to some of the voluntary organisations
who have offered to work with them in London and the Thames Valley. She was
admirably frank in admitting that they are still understanding the operating
environment. The pressures it seems of the mobilisation phase (since contracts
were signed on 19th December) mean that some fairly basic steps have
been deferred to the transition phase which lasts from now until May.
I’ve never really understood how, with the same overall budget, the new CRC’s can be
expected to supervise and rehabilitate 25 per cent more offenders than the Probation Trusts they've
replaced. The MoJ expected the competition process to produce a significant
downward pressure on unit costs, illustrating what they hoped to achieve by
reference to the benchmarking process in prisons. Chris Grayling aside,
everyone recognises its impact on performance as little
short of disastrous. It’s possible that
innovative use of technology could improve the efficiency of community supervision.
But rugged tablets will not provide a miracle cure for the deep seated problems
faced by offenders with complex needs who move in and out of prison.
The MoJ also identified a risk that the changes to custodial
sentences of less than 12 months could lead to changes in how courts use them. By
this they meant presumably that courts might be more attracted to a sentence
promising not only punishment via the clang of the closing prison gate but some
help when it opens again. In such
circumstances one might expect the Sentencing Council to produce guidelines on
how courts should reflect the increased punitive weight of short sentences in
their decision-making. I’ve not seen anything yet but perhaps it is being
mobilised or even in transition.
If not, the Council’s been negligent. Additional population
pressures from petty offenders being recalled to custody is not what the prison
service needs just now. When the Offender Rehabilitation Bill was being debated
in parliament, prison numbers were projected to fall. The latest estimates, published
in November, predict substantial increases. The whole Transforming Rehabilitation agenda
has neglected one of the key principles of government: expect the best, plan
for the worst and prepare to be surprised.